A GLANCE
AT THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS
The
polarization in the society and leadership
While the
structure of the 8th parliament has not been entirely
clarified yet, the polarization in the 10th presidential
elections is going on at full speed. The new structure and
fronts in the parliament and the rivalries between the IRGC
commanders and the clergymen have been shaping the
infrastructure of the presidential elections which will be
the turning point of the regime. Meanwhile, the people do
not appreciate what is written partially in the press by the
regime supporters.
The
electoral process in question plays an important role in
terms of introducing to the people the actors taking part in
the different fronts and poles of the regime. The results of
the election will show which side would win the game or how
much they would be successful…
During this
electoral process, the war bells are being rung in Iran.
Those supporting the war and military policy in the country
try to find out a remedy to prevent the USA to wage war
against Iran and to return to the Shah regime through
getting nuclear missiles and they display an aggressive
attitude. To this occasion, Iran seeks to appear “horrific”
to the USA dealing with the economic crisis, being under the
pressure of the EU and trying to getting out from the swamp
of Iraq and Afghanistan.
This point
of view constitutes the basis of prevailing policy conducted
nowadays. The policy in question is being conducted by the
IRGC commanders in the positions of judiciary, parliament
and government. The opposing political circles are put under
pressure and the people are being cheated with the religious
superstitions. Moreover the country’s leadership seeks to
conduct this policy on the Shiite Muslims in the other
countries of the region. It also considers this policy as a
“mechanism of resistance against the pressures to which it
is exposed due to its nuclear program”. In the meantime, the
supporters of this policy appear occasionally as the
supporters of negotiations with the EU and USA. Some
stipulations, however, are put forward concerning the issue
and the USA and EU are demanded to promise to recognize the
Iranian military and regional influence, not to intervene in
the internal affairs of the country and not to make military
attacks”.
On the
other hand, the second pole, which could not find a
courageous spokesman within the state structure yet and
tries, therefore, to make itself heard outside of
governmental circles, is extremely worried about the
policies in process. While this group shares the same view
with the ruling ones in case of a possible US attack, they
believe that a military victory against the USA is not
possible. The fundamental policy of this group adopts “the
negotiations with the USA and other occidental countries,
acting with the aim of renouncing the nuclear program and
raising awareness among people”. The first group, in other
words the powerful ones in the state and government, thinks
that if the second group comes to power, “they will
surrender Iran to the USA”.
Currently
the USA is focused on dealing with the crisis in its economy
rather than preserving its military presence in many areas
in the world including Iraq and Afghanistan. As it is known,
the ideal way for keeping the capitalism and avoiding the
crises is always the wars. The ways opted by the first group
being powerful in the Iranian leadership in order to prevent
a war with the USA will, therefore, produce opposite
conclusions. In fact, the practices of this group create big
crises in Iran. Given the poverty, unemployment, pressures,
increasing drug addiction and ethnical discrimination in the
country, the situation will be better realized. These
negative developments have also decreased the popular
reliance on the IRGC to a great extent. The Iranian
government, however, tries to impose an opposite image on
both Iranian and foreign press.
Yes, we,
the Iranian people are against the war, nuclear weapon and
military policies. We think that the policies of Ahmadinajad
and his circles will “pave the way for a US move”. Those
conducting this policy do not accede to negotiate with other
countries and to establish a national peace through a
dialogue with their own people. They are making calculations
on the basis of a “guarantee of non-aggression” of the USA.
Such a game was also played by Hitler before the World War
II and he had even signed a “non-aggression agreement” with
Stalin concerning Poland. But everyone knows that such
agreements do not mean anything to the capitalist system in
crisis. Today, the USA need wars in order not to be stuck in
the economic crisis. Moreover, the deepening of the gap
between the Iranian people and state is to the interest of
the USA.
Ahmadinajad
and his supporters should renounce the war policies and they
should make peace with heir people. It is better to leave
the USA to struggle in the swamp in which it is stuck. The
national unity and unanimity to be established in Iran will
decrease the pressures of the world public against Iran and
create a shield to protect the whole region. The coming
presidential elections are, therefore, very important for
the future of our country.
