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    POLITICAL UPHEAVAL

 

The resignation of Ali Larijani, Secretary General of the National Security Supreme Council and the chief nuclear negotiator, and his replacement by Said Jalili stirred Iran. Based on information obtained from an affiliate of Larijani on condition of unanimity, the Arabic newspaper Sharq Al Awsat of London says Larijani who was irritated by recurrent interventions by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on nuclear issues seriously considered quitting before but he learnt about his own “resignation” from the press.

 

In an explanation made by Mohammad Reza Bahoner, Iran’s Parliament Speaker, on October 22nd 2007 on the issue, Bahoner said chief negotiator Ali Larijani did not adequately cooperate with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the disagreement between the parties got irreversibly entangled. As known, Ahmadinejad who participated in the Jerusalem Day Rally organized on the last Friday of Ramadan harshly criticized those who conducted the nuclear negotiations, referring indeed to Larijani.

 

The political circles of Iran say that the Russian President Vladimir Putin conveyed key messages at the meeting with Supreme Leader Ali Khamanei during his visit to Iran remarking that “Iran had to stop its nuclear program and the war was imminent unless Iran stopped the program by the end of the year.” Also talked among these circles was that these warnings could be considered by the supreme leader; Khamanei and Ahmadinejad were very sensitive on the discretion of these issues, however, Ahmadinejad denied chief nuclear negotiator A.Larijani’s statements after Larijani exposed to public these highly confidential issues. The political circles also mention that Larijani’s dismissal was indispensable with the ongoing severe conflicts between Ahmadinejad and Larijani, worsened by the recent incident. The comments remarking that Larijani, different from the President Ahmadinejad, seeks to find a pragmatic solution to the matter and therefore, contradicts with the President’s approach which refuses to take even a step back on Iran’s nuclear stance, reflects the obvious reality.

 

The circles criticizing Iran’s regime claim that Larijani did not resign but was deposed by the Supreme Leader impelled by the rage resulted from Larijani’s feeding out information. The article written on the first week of October by Hoseyn Shariatmadari, advisory to the Supreme Leader and daily Kayhan’s Editor, indicating that “IAEA was not aware of all of Iran’s nuclear activities” is presented as the proof of this fact.

 

Meanwhile, the tough political stance of French President Nicolas Sarkozy, the fact that RF President V. Putin’s Iran visit bore no positive outcome and lastly US President George Bush’s warning against the start of a Third World War apparently have pressurized the Iranian Administration. The senior administrators, as a “precaution”, replaced Leader A. Larijani, the nuclear negotiator, with a name that could get on with better terms with the government and the religious leader. 

 

It is also not by chance that chief negotiator A. Larijani’s resignation has coincided with the changes within Iran Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC). Similarly, names close to M. Ahmadinejad were appointed to important and strategic posts in time, following the dismissal of IRGC Commander Yahya Rahim Safavi after he expressed his concern for the extremism in Iran and the possibility of war and his heavy criticisms of M. Ahmadinejad in private meetings. All of these developments could be interpreted as Ahmadinejad’s persuasion of religious leader A. Khamanei on the “inevitability of war”.

 

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